local-first · v0.1

Universal Simulation Runtime

Phase XIII · V10 — the permanent simulation layer. Given V9's immutable execution plan, it produces a deterministic DRY-RUN: per-step predicted outcomes (succeeds / at-risk), scenario-dependent risk projection (materializes / mitigated / tolerated), a resource forecast (never a real measurement), predicted failure points, and an overall predicted outcome. Every step outcome cites its originating plan step. Fail-closed: missing plan→UNKNOWN, unapprovable plan→UNSIMULATABLE, invalid plan→SIMULATION_INVALID. It predicts what a plan WOULD do — but executes nothing, invokes no provider, mutates nothing, and never changes the plan. Read-only.

4 / 3
Simulated / blocked
5
Step outcomes
3
Failure points
1
Risks materializing
Deterministic, plan-cited, unexecuted dry-runs. V10 consumes V9's PlannerExecutionPlan read-only and projects each step in the plan's execution order: confidence and reversibility drive the per-step prediction, the plan's risks are projected against a scenario threshold (nominal / adverse / optimistic), and estimated requirements become a resource forecast the runtime never measures. Every step outcome cites the V9 plan step it originates from — traceable back through cognition and memory — so nothing is simulated beyond the plan. The predicted outcome is distinct from the status: the status says whether the plan could be dry-run at all; the predicted outcome says what the dry-run foresees. Missing, unapprovable, or invalid plans fail closed to an explicit status, never an invented simulation.

The Universal Simulation Runtime is the permanent simulation layer of GIOS: every future predictor, autonomous agent, and orchestration engine inherits this deterministic dry-run layer instead of simulating plans independently. It consumes V9's PlannerExecutionPlan (the stages, execution order, dependencies, approval requests, rollback plan, risks, and confidence model produced by the planning layer) and projects what that plan would do — a per-step predicted outcome derived from each step's confidence and reversibility, a scenario-dependent projection of which plan risks would materialize when unmitigated, a resource forecast expressed as classes and counts rather than fabricated numbers, the irreversible at-risk steps flagged as unrecoverable failure points, and an overall predicted outcome. Every step outcome cites the V9 plan step it originates from and carries the underlying cognition reference, so the dry-run is traceable all the way back through planning, cognition, and memory to the observed execution outcomes, and nothing is simulated beyond the plan. It fails closed: a missing plan yields UNKNOWN, a plan that is not itself approvable yields UNSIMULATABLE, and a plan that claims to be planned but fails the planner's own validator yields SIMULATION_INVALID — never an invented simulation. It prepares an immutable handoff for a future Prediction Runtime (V11). It never executes, never invokes a provider, never mutates memory, never changes cognition, and never changes the plan it reads — execution stays behind the Broker (→ V5) — and it inherits the A0 Intelligence Kernel lifecycle.